Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000677 0.000769 0.000867 0.000978 0.001101 0.001231 0.001380
2025-09-28 0.000521 0.000647 0.000790 0.000962 0.001162 0.001388 0.001660
2025-10-05 0.000458 0.000602 0.000773 0.000988 0.001247 0.001550 0.001925
2025-10-12 0.000405 0.000562 0.000754 0.001004 0.001317 0.001691 0.002167
2025-10-19 0.000353 0.000515 0.000720 0.000996 0.001350 0.001785 0.002351
2025-10-26 0.000310 0.000473 0.000688 0.000985 0.001377 0.001867 0.002520
2025-11-02 0.000281 0.000447 0.000673 0.000993 0.001425 0.001977 0.002723
2025-11-09 0.000253 0.000420 0.000653 0.000992 0.001459 0.002067 0.002903
2025-11-16 0.000220 0.000381 0.000615 0.000962 0.001452 0.002101 0.003008
2025-11-23 0.000193 0.000350 0.000583 0.000939 0.001451 0.002143 0.003123
2025-11-30 0.000175 0.000329 0.000566 0.000935 0.001475 0.002216 0.003281
2025-12-07 0.000159 0.000312 0.000551 0.000932 0.001502 0.002293 0.003444
2025-12-14 0.000142 0.000291 0.000531 0.000922 0.001515 0.002353 0.003587
2025-12-21 0.000126 0.000270 0.000508 0.000905 0.001519 0.002399 0.003712
2025-12-28 0.000120 0.000265 0.000511 0.000930 0.001586 0.002536 0.003966
2026-01-04 0.000113 0.000258 0.000510 0.000945 0.001638 0.002653 0.004195
2026-01-11 0.000102 0.000243 0.000494 0.000937 0.001654 0.002716 0.004347
2026-01-18 0.000092 0.000228 0.000478 0.000927 0.001665 0.002772 0.004489
2026-01-25 0.000086 0.000220 0.000473 0.000935 0.001704 0.002870 0.004694
2026-02-01 0.000079 0.000210 0.000463 0.000934 0.001729 0.002947 0.004870
2026-02-08 0.000069 0.000193 0.000438 0.000905 0.001707 0.002952 0.004938
2026-02-15 0.000061 0.000178 0.000418 0.000883 0.001695 0.002972 0.005027
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000169 0.000408 0.000879 0.001712 0.003035 0.005184